President-elect Donald Trump, accompanied by his wife, Melania Trump, waves as they arrive at Andrews Air Force Base, Md., Thursday, Jan. 19, 2017. Evan Vucci AP
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“Totally made up facts by sleazebag political operatives, both Democrats and Republicans - FAKE NEWS! Russia says nothing exists. Probably released by ‘Intelligence’ even knowing there is no proof, and never will be. My people will have a full report on hacking within 90 days!” two consecutive tweets said.

Unless Trump fosters trust anew with the CIA, under his nominated leader, Rep. Mike Pompeo, R-Kan., he may seek out only episodic direct intelligence briefings. That, say retired officers, may lead him to ill-informed decisions as crises erupt.

“The intelligence product is also important in sensitizing the president to pending problems,” Pillar said, offering warnings of problems still only on the horizon.

He noted that twice in recent history presidents have ignored CIA analysis, helping lead to or deepen costly wars in Vietnam and Iraq.

Rep. Mike Pompeo (R-KS), President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for director of the Central Intelligence Agency, testified on Thursday before the Senate Intelligence Committee. Pompeo lists an aggressive Russia as one of the multiple challenges fa

Pillar said CIA intelligence went contrary to neoconservative analysis from the Pentagon that wrongly suggested that Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein had connections to al Qaida, unfolding in the 2003 invasion to topple Saddam.

More recently, Trump has raised hackles in Beijing by questioning the policy that Taiwan is a non-negotiable part of mainland China. “I don’t know why we have to be bound by a ‘one China’ policy,” Trump told Fox News in December. Last week, Trump told The Wall Street Journal that “everything is under negotiation, including ‘one China.’ ”

A deep CIA appraisal would have been useful before making such remarks, Pillar said, to avoid statements that “are a recipe for confrontation that could escalate.”

Some retired intelligence officers say they expect the CIA under Pompeo to get into a rhythm again in the Trump White House, although the depth of that sentiment is hard to judge, with the secrecy that generally cloaks the agency.

It’s not the CIA. It’s the thin veneer of people at the top.

Philip Giraldi, former CIA counterterrorism specialist

“It’s not the CIA. It’s the thin veneer of people at the top,” said Philip Giraldi, a former counterterrorism specialist at the agency. “I don’t see a whole lot of anti-Trump sentiment per se.”

Giraldi has signed a smattering of statements issued by a group formed in 2003 that calls itself Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity. A co-founder of the group, Ray McGovern, a former CIA analyst, said he believed that political skewing of intelligence had increased under Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, who oversaw the CIA and 16 other agencies, and CIA Director John Brennan.

“I’m hoping that someone will speak out as soon as Brennan and Clapper ride off into the sunset,” McGovern said.

Tim Johnson: 202-383-6028, @timjohnson4