The flags of the United States, Canada, and Mexico flying in New Orleans where leaders of the North American Free Trade Agreement met. Mexico, the United States and Canada began a second round of talks in early September on re-negotiating the pact. Judi Bottoni AP
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Eric Farnsworth, vice president of the Washington-based Council of the Americas, said it’s about time that the business community has gotten more involved. Business leaders need to make their voices heard at this critical stage, he said, but it’s unclear whether the Trump administration will listen.

“The business community finally recognizes that NAFTA is at risk,” Farnsworth said. “This is not a drill.”

Canada and Mexico are two of the top three trading partners with the United States and they are America’s two largest export markets. Indeed, the United States exported more than twice as much to Canada and Mexico individually as it did to China in 2016, according to U.S. government data.

US Rep. Mark Sanford says ending NAFTA, as Trump has threatened, would be catastrophic. Sanford and other members of SC's legislative delegation spoke to the SC Chamber of Commerce Wednesday, August 23.

The Chamber reports that about 14 million U.S. jobs depend on trade with Canada and Mexico. More than $1 billion in commerce is conducted daily across the southern and northern borders. Similarly, nine million American jobs depend on trade and investment with Canada.

Trump has called NAFTA one of the worst deals struck in history. He said he wants a “fair deal,” often citing the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico — a measure of how much America’s imports from Mexico exceed its exports to that nation. In 2016, that trade deficit stood at $63 billion.

Trump also cites American job losses to Mexico after NAFTA was signed. On this point, there are more economists who agree, especially on the left among trade unions and blue-collar voters. Studies funded by groups aligned with unions say NAFTA has led to the loss of more than 800,000 U.S. jobs. Nonpartisan groups, including the Congressional Research Service and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, say NAFTA might have hurt specific U.S. sectors, such as auto manufacturing, but overall had a more modest effect on U.S. jobs.

Economists widely agree that carrying a trade deficit is not inherently a bad thing, especially for a developed economy like the United States. The trade imbalance partly reflects America’s propensity to consume more than other countries, and the money U.S. trading partners make from selling to Americans is often then used to both purchase U.S. exports or to invest on Wall Street or in U.S. bonds.

In their letter, the local and state chambers said half of all Canadian and Mexican imports are “made-in-the-USA.” They said the agreement has been especially beneficial for U.S. farmers and ranchers. Agricultural exports to Canada and Mexico have quadrupled to $38 billion since the agreement was signed. Canada and Mexico are the top two markets in the world for U.S.-made manufactured goods with purchases of nearly half-a-trillion dollars last year — a sum that tops the next 10 largest markets combined, the chambers said.

Hamer said there are years where trade with Mexico has made a difference between growth versus recession in Arizona. And though he was critical of the administration’s take on trade, he praised its efforts to cut regulations and confront tax reform.

“The administration is spot on in its tackling those two areas, but I’d argue as right it is in those areas, it is that wrong when it comes to its general approach on trade,” Hamer said.